Yikes: Carson Wentz Joins Commanders, But Super Bowl Odds Worsen

Written By Darren Cooper on March 11, 2022
Carson Wentz

Earlier this week, news broke that Carson Wentz, a former contender for the MVP title, had been traded to the Washington Commanders in exchange for a generous package of draft picks.

Amidst an NFL media frenzy, news broke about Russel Wilson’s transfer to the Broncos, a nine-time Pro Bowler and Super Bowl Champion. Additionally, there was buzz surrounding Aaron Rodgers, a four-time MVP winner, as he announced his intention to remain in Green Bay.

As other teams were acquiring talented stars for their rosters, Commanders fans found themselves stuck with a 29-year-old quarterback who, truthfully speaking, isn’t significantly superior to their current options.

However, sportsbooks across the country wasted no time in deepening the team’s hole, leaving Washington fans with little opportunity to react to the news.

Carson Wentz gives no boost to Commanders futures

Upon the announcement of the Wentz trade, there was no significant improvement in the future Super Bowl odds for the Washington Commanders. At most, they stayed unchanged.

Trades should have a positive impact on your Super Bowl futures, exclusively pushing them in the desired direction.

One sportsbook witnessed a significant decrease in the odds for the Denver team, specifically from +2500 to +1200, after Russel Wilson was traded to the Broncos.

However, the story changes when we compare the Commanders’ odds before and after the trade.

Caesars Sportsbook, for instance, did not alter the Commanders’ Super Bowl futures. Prior to the trade, their odds of winning the Vince Lombardi Trophy remained at 60-1.

Despite the Carson Wentz trade, their odds remain at +6000.

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FanDuel, another leading sportsbook in Virginia, tells a similar tale. The Commanders’ odds were 50-1 before the trade and continue to be 50-1 at present.

The contrast was even more remarkable at WynnBET, where the Super Bowl prospects took a dive. Prior to the trade, Washington’s chances of winning the Super Bowl were valued at +6000. However, after the trade, the odds diminished to +7500.

The Wentz trade fails to benefit the Commanders, as even the oddsmakers, responsible for assessing teams and adjusting odds, see no improvement. Adding to the disappointment, Washington has agreed to cover the entire $28 million owed to Wentz this year, including a $5 million roster bonus due in the upcoming week.

In my opinion, I sympathize with Washington fans. They have experienced two name changes within a short span of two years. Furthermore, they have recently traded away valuable draft assets for a player who is quite similar to Taylor Heinicke, someone they already have on their roster.

Famous bad trades in sports history

Commanders fans can find solace in knowing that they are not alone in their disappointment. In a hypothetical bad trade support group, they would be just one of many members.

However, it remains uncertain. Perhaps Wentz will regain his form from 2017 in the upcoming year. Until that moment arrives, I’ll keep a spot reserved for the Commanders alongside the 1920 Red Sox and the 1992 Falcons.

In order to provide further solace to the Commanders, I propose examining some of the most disastrous trades in the annals of sports history. Although I believe the Wentz trade will never approach the magnitude of these blunders, it will at least offer Commanders fans a sense of perspective.

Red Sox trade Babe Ruth for … a musical?

The Curse of the Bambino is a widely known tale, but its surprising origins may catch you off guard. Back in 1920, the Boston Red Sox made a fateful decision to trade Babe Ruth to the Yankees. This exchange involved $100,000 along with a substantial $300,000 loan intended to support the production of the musical “No, No, Nanette.”

As Babe continued to thrive, hitting an impressive 659 home runs for the Yankees and securing four World Series victories, the show unfortunately failed to gain success.

The Hornets unknowingly trade away Kobe Bryant

In the lead-up to the 1996 NBA Draft, the Charlotte Hornets made a significant trade by sending their 13th overall pick to the Los Angeles Lakers in exchange for the seasoned center, Vlade Divac. The Lakers made excellent use of that acquired pick, selecting Kobe Bryant, who would go on to achieve great fame and win five championships with the team.

After a brief stint of two seasons with the Hornets, Divac departed to join the Kings in 1998.

The Falcons give up on Brett Favre

In 1991, the Falcons exchanged rookie QB Brett Favre with the Packers in return for a valuable first-round draft pick. Surprisingly, the team officials appeared to have little interest in Favre, as they placed him as a third-string QB upon completing the trade.

Favre’s accomplishments include winning three MVP awards and securing a Super Bowl ring with the Packers, cementing his status as one of the all-time greats in the sport.

Sonics say goodbye to Scottie Pippen

In exchange for Olden Polynice, a second-round pick, and the option to switch first-round picks in 1989, the Sonics traded Scottie Pippen, their fifth overall pick in the draft, to the Bulls.

Don’t fret if you find yourself puzzled by the name of Olden Polynice – I’m in the same boat.

Despite his lengthy 15-year career, Polynice failed to achieve any remarkable accomplishments.

Do I really need to mention Pippen’s exceptional performance?

Boston Blunders again

I sincerely apologize for continuously targeting the Red Sox, but they consistently provide ample opportunities for criticism.

The Astros acquired future Hall of Famer Jeff Bagwell in exchange for reliever Larry Anderson in 1990.

Despite Anderson’s limited playing time of only 22 innings for the Sox, Bagwell emerged victorious as the Rookie of the Year, won the 1994 MVP title, and achieved the prestigious honor of having his name immortalized in the Baseball Hall of Fame.

Commanders fans, I understand that the Wentz trade may not seem favorable at the moment. However, let’s not forget to consider the numerous trades that preceded it.

Certainly, you might be compensating your QB at a rate that surpasses his actual value, but at the very least, you avoided exchanging the potential future star, comparable to Patrick Mahomes, for the privileges to a failed Broadway production.

Photo by AP / Phelan M. Ebenhack
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